Sports bets can be quite profitable if you know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a perfect instance. I actually analyzed this West Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Florida had often the edge in the activity. Yet , My spouse and i also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not guarantee on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This video game features all the indications of being one connected with the best games regarding the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with West Virginia coming rear from becoming down major in the fourth quarter to winning in overtime.
So what’s the action seem like this year?
If this activity were getting played in some sort of neutral field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROUTE games.
These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this extra reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like very much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that special point will certainly make the difference between a good push together with a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since 12 eighteen, 2003! During พักยก24 existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points every game at your home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points per game at home. In case a person failed to do the figures, that means since their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their adversaries by simply about 34 points per game.
Furthermore impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by way of 13 things per video game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s how…
Almost all of those stats were being piled up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They are yet to got recent games in which they already have only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still some sort of close video game to call. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and not guess at all. There are usually better activities this weekend with more simple strengths.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big they will may possibly still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this sport, people serious about wagering saved money these people can put to better work with on forthcoming games.