Sports playing can be extremely profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a ideal example of this. We analyzed the particular Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had this edge in the activity. Nonetheless My spouse and i also realized that there initially were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:
West Va or Louisville
This sport has all the signals of being one regarding the ideal games of the year, together with both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming rear from staying down huge in the 4th 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.
So what’s the game seem like this year?
In the event this game were appearing played with a natural field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. These people haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.
These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not look like significantly, but in a near match-up like this, that extra point will certainly make the distinction between a new push and a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s figures may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.
In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since 12 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for each game in your own home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points per game with home. In บาคาร่า SA did not do the mathematics, that means given that their last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their particular adversaries by way of about thirty four factors per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by means of 13 things per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s the way…
Most of those stats were built up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have had recent games through which they already have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Street. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
In essence the fact that this is still a close activity to call. Nonetheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this particular game and not necessarily guess at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a good TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific sport, people serious with regards to gambling saved money they can offer better employ on approaching games.